Historical event study
Analog Matching
Each published directional call is checked against comparable scheduled macro events. Select a horizon to see historical market reactions and the matching Track Record score.
Same horizon · Track Record
Building sample
0 tracked calls; none has resolved at 5D yet.
The selector changes both historical analog returns and the resolved-call accuracy for this horizon. Each open call keeps its published validation horizon.
Evidence boundary
How analogs are matched
Updated —
The historical calendar and market-price backfill has not completed yet. No statistics are shown until the source data is available.
Minimum sample: 5 comparable events. Stock-specific calls use the S&P 500 only as a market proxy unless the symbol itself is in the historical price set. News context is not counted as a scored call.